Post by Amanda Kimmel on May 2, 2013 20:07:01 GMT -5
One by one!
Boo
I honestly see him as a strong UTR player right now. His weakness? He's playing both sides when he absolutely shouldn't be. Rob thinks he's an idiot. Natalie can't trust him. He makes incredibly illogical suggestions, like splitting the vote when it's 5 to 4. He had that period where he was only half-active, too. I honestly don't know if I'd put him in or not...
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 30%
Brenda
After her stunt with the idol and blindsiding Rafe, there are two ways to take it. One, in that she was in complete control of the game and was voted out because of such. Two, in that she made a horrible gaffe by thinking about endgame WAY TOO EARLY. Cochran said on last night's episode that timing is everything. Brenda doesn't realize that. That's why she got 9th place. Despite that, she was a force to be reckoned with, the leader of her alliance, and someone who has a ton of personality. The only way she's not getting invited back is is everyone ahead of her outshines her. The chance of that? Slim to none.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 90%
Corinne
Corinne had a little personality in her confessionals and posted them frequently, and seemed to be viewed as a threat b the guys. However, they knew that Brenda was the HBIC and wanted to take out the #2 instead, which unfortunately ended up being Corinne. Like with Brenda, her chance of getting a spot depends on those who left after her outshining her - and unfortunately for her, that's a pretty strong chance. I like Corinne, but 11th place and everything she accomplished - and didn't - plus pretty much giving up instead of fighting make her somewhat of a long shot.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 25%
Gina
Bo is always a player. What game he plays tends to vary, though - it's either the HBIC game or the UTR I-care-more-about-hosting-Munny/VS/Cinema game. This game, it appears to be the latter. He seems to be letting everyone else take the heat while he prepares for a big move, however based on what I know, Rob is onto this and plans to take Gina out. Gina also doesn't confess as regularly or in as detailed a fashion as the others - she likes playing games with us. Although I have fun with that, Ted... definitely doesn't. Whether or not she makes AS depends on if she can pull off that big move or not.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 30%
Kat
<#
I love her and all, but she has a life. And that life really doesn't involve caring about this game. She has been nothing but a loyal pawn to Brenda and Nat. She hasn't made any big moves. In fact, the only amusement I've seen is what happened between her and Rob after Rafe's blindside. She needs to do a lot more than that to make AS. Will she? I highly doubt it.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 2%
Morgan
Oh Morgan. Morgan is smarter than she appears, but at the same time, that doesn't excuse her making an extremely stupid move in telling Rob that the girls hated him. She has become nothing but a vote slave, and I don't understand some of her confessional points. What kind of move does she want to make? Does she even realize that her chances of winning this game are slim to none? The only people she can feasibly beat are Kat and Gina, and both of them will look a lot more intelligent at an FTC. Oh, Brenda might be bitter and vote for her over someone like Stephanie, but the rest of the jury? Yeah right. Morgan doesn't seem to be playing to win this game, and unless that changes, she's not going to make it.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 10%
Nat B
Her game right now is a little too quiet, but the deal she and Rob made may help her tremendously. She has to work with him much to her chagrin - in fact, he might actually set up himself the bomb. Nat isn't playing a mega-threat game, but she's still very social and was very loyal to Brenda - to the point that Corinne and Rafe feel incredibly betrayed by her. Aside from them, her jury management so far is stellar. She was easily in the best position come the merge round. Now? I don't know. Regardless, she's the one that caused some pretty dramatic stuff to happen. I see her odds at making AS as very strong. The only way she misses out is if she quits or drops the ball somehow.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 95%
Pete
He took the real Pete's "create a little chaos" strategy to heart and has applied it flawlessly. He went from being anti-social and thus a target to being one of the most integral players in this game. He's writing detailed confessionals. He's playing a very well-rounded game. I honestly doubt he'll make the end, but if he does, he could very well win. The amazing here is that he's still in it despite being someone we thought would be out in the first three rounds. That alone makes his odds very solid.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 90%
Rafe
Rafe is a very calculating player, but at the same time he's extremely naive and that's a very crippling weakness. He gets paranoid so easily and waffles on decisions for hours, only to tell Nat last-minute that the target is Brenda. Brenda then idols Rafe out. Oops. He effectively blindsided himself and got 10th place. That sent his AS stock plummeting, but I do think he's more deserving than some other people. Question is... who?
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 75%
Rob
This guy is a real piece of work. He thinks of himself as this genius super-strategist that deserves to win and that aggravates everyone around him. He's been a marked man for weeks on end... and yet he's still standing. How, I don't know. He went from running shit to being a man without a country back to running shit. That's... amazing. Sure, there was some luck involved, but he still pulled it off and I don't see him going anywhere this round. I really have no idea how he's still in it... but he is.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 100%
Steph
Steph is awesome. She posts these extremely detailed, thorough, thoughtful confessionals that consider almost every angle imaginable. She also was the one who skipped a class just to do the challenge... in round one. We knew then that this girl was HERE TO PLAY. Now, she's sort of taken a backseat to Rob, to divert the attention off of herself. However, Brenda still tried to vote her out... because she recognized that Steph is a major threat to win this game. When it comes to a potential FTC, Steph might wipe the floor with everyone. Can you imagine Pete trying to deflect him not posting an AIM while Steph has a perfect answer for everything? Or Rob flaunting his massive ego while Steph calmly strokes him to show that she benefited more from their relationship? There are many potential scenarios where Steph could win unanimously because her FTC is bound to be that good. I always love reading her confessionals. She's really a great player in all aspects. At this point, she's my pick to win.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 100%
TOP TIER: Steph, Rob
UPPER MIDDLE TIER: Nat, Pete, Brenda, Rafe
LOWER MIDDLE TIER: Gina, Boo, Corinne
BOTTOM TIER: Morgan, Kat
I potentially see two of Gina, Boo, and Corinne making it should one of the former two make a huge move and the other make the finale.
There's also some people wanting an FvF season for S4. We'd cast some people from S1, like GC, Rob C, Nate, and Colton, along with Corinne, Matt, and Gina/Boo/Rafe [whomever doesn't make AS] from this season. Then 4-5 snubs from S3 as well. Ted, what do you think of this?
Boo
I honestly see him as a strong UTR player right now. His weakness? He's playing both sides when he absolutely shouldn't be. Rob thinks he's an idiot. Natalie can't trust him. He makes incredibly illogical suggestions, like splitting the vote when it's 5 to 4. He had that period where he was only half-active, too. I honestly don't know if I'd put him in or not...
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 30%
Brenda
After her stunt with the idol and blindsiding Rafe, there are two ways to take it. One, in that she was in complete control of the game and was voted out because of such. Two, in that she made a horrible gaffe by thinking about endgame WAY TOO EARLY. Cochran said on last night's episode that timing is everything. Brenda doesn't realize that. That's why she got 9th place. Despite that, she was a force to be reckoned with, the leader of her alliance, and someone who has a ton of personality. The only way she's not getting invited back is is everyone ahead of her outshines her. The chance of that? Slim to none.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 90%
Corinne
Corinne had a little personality in her confessionals and posted them frequently, and seemed to be viewed as a threat b the guys. However, they knew that Brenda was the HBIC and wanted to take out the #2 instead, which unfortunately ended up being Corinne. Like with Brenda, her chance of getting a spot depends on those who left after her outshining her - and unfortunately for her, that's a pretty strong chance. I like Corinne, but 11th place and everything she accomplished - and didn't - plus pretty much giving up instead of fighting make her somewhat of a long shot.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 25%
Gina
Bo is always a player. What game he plays tends to vary, though - it's either the HBIC game or the UTR I-care-more-about-hosting-Munny/VS/Cinema game. This game, it appears to be the latter. He seems to be letting everyone else take the heat while he prepares for a big move, however based on what I know, Rob is onto this and plans to take Gina out. Gina also doesn't confess as regularly or in as detailed a fashion as the others - she likes playing games with us. Although I have fun with that, Ted... definitely doesn't. Whether or not she makes AS depends on if she can pull off that big move or not.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 30%
Kat
<#
I love her and all, but she has a life. And that life really doesn't involve caring about this game. She has been nothing but a loyal pawn to Brenda and Nat. She hasn't made any big moves. In fact, the only amusement I've seen is what happened between her and Rob after Rafe's blindside. She needs to do a lot more than that to make AS. Will she? I highly doubt it.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 2%
Morgan
Oh Morgan. Morgan is smarter than she appears, but at the same time, that doesn't excuse her making an extremely stupid move in telling Rob that the girls hated him. She has become nothing but a vote slave, and I don't understand some of her confessional points. What kind of move does she want to make? Does she even realize that her chances of winning this game are slim to none? The only people she can feasibly beat are Kat and Gina, and both of them will look a lot more intelligent at an FTC. Oh, Brenda might be bitter and vote for her over someone like Stephanie, but the rest of the jury? Yeah right. Morgan doesn't seem to be playing to win this game, and unless that changes, she's not going to make it.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 10%
Nat B
Her game right now is a little too quiet, but the deal she and Rob made may help her tremendously. She has to work with him much to her chagrin - in fact, he might actually set up himself the bomb. Nat isn't playing a mega-threat game, but she's still very social and was very loyal to Brenda - to the point that Corinne and Rafe feel incredibly betrayed by her. Aside from them, her jury management so far is stellar. She was easily in the best position come the merge round. Now? I don't know. Regardless, she's the one that caused some pretty dramatic stuff to happen. I see her odds at making AS as very strong. The only way she misses out is if she quits or drops the ball somehow.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 95%
Pete
He took the real Pete's "create a little chaos" strategy to heart and has applied it flawlessly. He went from being anti-social and thus a target to being one of the most integral players in this game. He's writing detailed confessionals. He's playing a very well-rounded game. I honestly doubt he'll make the end, but if he does, he could very well win. The amazing here is that he's still in it despite being someone we thought would be out in the first three rounds. That alone makes his odds very solid.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 90%
Rafe
Rafe is a very calculating player, but at the same time he's extremely naive and that's a very crippling weakness. He gets paranoid so easily and waffles on decisions for hours, only to tell Nat last-minute that the target is Brenda. Brenda then idols Rafe out. Oops. He effectively blindsided himself and got 10th place. That sent his AS stock plummeting, but I do think he's more deserving than some other people. Question is... who?
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 75%
Rob
This guy is a real piece of work. He thinks of himself as this genius super-strategist that deserves to win and that aggravates everyone around him. He's been a marked man for weeks on end... and yet he's still standing. How, I don't know. He went from running shit to being a man without a country back to running shit. That's... amazing. Sure, there was some luck involved, but he still pulled it off and I don't see him going anywhere this round. I really have no idea how he's still in it... but he is.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 100%
Steph
Steph is awesome. She posts these extremely detailed, thorough, thoughtful confessionals that consider almost every angle imaginable. She also was the one who skipped a class just to do the challenge... in round one. We knew then that this girl was HERE TO PLAY. Now, she's sort of taken a backseat to Rob, to divert the attention off of herself. However, Brenda still tried to vote her out... because she recognized that Steph is a major threat to win this game. When it comes to a potential FTC, Steph might wipe the floor with everyone. Can you imagine Pete trying to deflect him not posting an AIM while Steph has a perfect answer for everything? Or Rob flaunting his massive ego while Steph calmly strokes him to show that she benefited more from their relationship? There are many potential scenarios where Steph could win unanimously because her FTC is bound to be that good. I always love reading her confessionals. She's really a great player in all aspects. At this point, she's my pick to win.
CHANCE FOR SPOT: 100%
TOP TIER: Steph, Rob
UPPER MIDDLE TIER: Nat, Pete, Brenda, Rafe
LOWER MIDDLE TIER: Gina, Boo, Corinne
BOTTOM TIER: Morgan, Kat
I potentially see two of Gina, Boo, and Corinne making it should one of the former two make a huge move and the other make the finale.
There's also some people wanting an FvF season for S4. We'd cast some people from S1, like GC, Rob C, Nate, and Colton, along with Corinne, Matt, and Gina/Boo/Rafe [whomever doesn't make AS] from this season. Then 4-5 snubs from S3 as well. Ted, what do you think of this?
